As the global landscape shifts, the intricate dynamics of trade, technology, and power struggle culminate in an ominous crescendo, heralding the inevitability of a collision between the US and China.
The problem with a centrally planned global economy is the economic calculation problem. The central planners cannot ever plan for all the economic transactions desired by all the people. So they mis-price things (eventually mis-pricing everything) and scarcity results. The more they crack down on alternative markets, the more starvation and privation results, and the more secretive and effective the alternative markets become.
The more things are commanded by the central planners, the less effective the economy. Your German friends of the watermelon communist party (Green on the outside, blood red inside) got rid of the German nuclear power industry just in time to create even greater scarcity of power once Russian natural gas was forbidden. Of course, the Green commies hate all industry and like seeing people starve to death. Curiously, you neglected to mention nuclear power policies in your paper.
Mankind cannot free ourselves by hanging every central planner in the entrails of the war profiteers, however tempting that seems from week to week. We can only be free by turning our backs on the demon worshipping deep state and turning to God. Vade retro Satana.
Eternal Father please help Americans see how much they are betrayed by the cia and its alumni association and act accordingly. Amen.
"The prevailing dynamic suggests an unfolding narrative of the “Rise of the East,” as nations like China forge ahead with an economic model that prioritizes industrial prowess and socioeconomic advancement, juxtaposed against the Western world's struggles to sustain its dominance amid dwindling industrial output and mounting financial encumbrances."
Whenever I read most of Lilly's output I find myself often looking at the wooden beam straddling the kitchen ceiling and wondering if it would hold my weight.........
Yes this was another thought provoking paper with which I had much agreement. It is easier to look back and see these pivotal decisions and how they potentially all tied together. The real skill is getting whats coming next right....and as the famous Yogi Berra quote goes "It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future".
A couple of small personal points:
1. I think Margret Thatcher saved the UK from a slide into Marxist-Leninist chaos. I was a young man at the time and can recall only too well the massive waste of public money subsidizing the inefficient and Union riddled industries. She took on the Unions and defeated them. Having said all that, there is now no doubt in my mind that without North Sea oil revenue, the UK would have had a very tough time surviving the late 70s and 80s, let alone the 90s. Indeed without N.S. oil I would not have had a great 42 year career! However I am prepared to accept that the 80s was the beginning of the march to the apparent financialization of our economies in most of the West.
2. "Germany's request to repatriate its gold was met with evasion from the United States, which refused to make its actions transparent." This is a topic I feel has not received the attention it warrants. I believe Germany may not have been the only country not to have received prompt return of gold reserves from US custody. However I have seen relatively little written about the issue or why the return of gold was held up (except the claim of course that the gold was no longer there). Therefore I assume this is tied to the subject of another conspiracy theory about "missing Fort Knox gold" that I have heard about many times from many other writers.
The failure of the current actions of elites lays in their belief that they are playing 3-D chess when they are truly playing checkers against chess players. Those who believe themselves 'smart' have always underestimated the skills of opponents. It is one of the symptoms of narcissism.
Good stuff, there are lots of potential threads/rabbit holes.
* The US appears to be keeping the empire on life support by sucking the life out of Europe, specifically NATO. I'm glad you covered the Nordstream bombing, that's a pretty clear sign that we're going to have things our way as usual. As an Amerimutt, I can't say I mind too much really. Euros are already poor and I'd like to delay the collapse as long as possible.
* I wonder how much of this is calculated and how much is just reacting to circumstances as they happen. You didn't really need to be Bobby Fischer to see the Russia sanctions backfiring bigly.
* China seems to be at least sort of playing along with the whole Taiwan narrative. My bet is that they're LARPing to get the US distracted. China and Russia play the long game, they can afford to given their political structure. The US tends to think 4 years ahead at most.
* If we cut trade with China, who will fill our Dollar Stores with cheap junk? We can't risk empty Family Dollars, imagine the riots.
* I suppose BRICS could pose a threat in the future but I think it will take a while. A partnership relying on South Africa (at least to the extent that it's in the name) is likely to launch like an early SpaceX rocket. In time though...we should worry.
* The adults that are now supposedly in the White House that include the likes of Janet Yellen and Tony Blinken...what a joke. Can we get the kids back?
* China's BRI is a great concept that will pay off in spades long term. It's surely not easy, but those minerals are worth it for sure. I can recommend the documentary "Empire of Dust" for about 90 minutes of entertainment. It's kind of funny that many of these African countries turned on the colonialism that built what infrastructure they had and then after they destroyed most of what others had built they invite the Chinese to come and exploit them. Think the Chinese style colonialism will be the kinder, gentler version? I guess they do...wrong again.
* I'm glad you commented on the style of US imperialism, we're pretty good bullies. When we can't sanction or bomb we tend to go all color revolution and just install a puppet regime. I think we're up around 50 times at this point. That seems to be backfiring in Ukraine and now Niger isn't playing along.
* I think one of the bigger, if not the biggest issue facing the West is immigration. We can fight all of the economic and kinetic wars we want but in a few decades it's going to be all over anyway. Look at France, specifically Paris. Mohamed is the most common baby name now, not exactly classical Parisian. Thanks to the "globalists" the West is being destroyed from within by useful idiot puppets who are nothing more than cheap whores, selling out their countries for a bit of personal profit. It's good to see some of the push back in places like Sweden and the Netherlands but I wonder how long that will be allowed to last. These things are not happening in China, Russia or India - they will not undergo a seismic demographic shift (though China does have their population bomb issue). The only real way out of this is hitting rewind. That's a politically untenable position today. We do have a potential leader who is about 12 years away from being old enough to run...maybe by then the rewind button will be off the 3rd rail.
Nice policy paper
The problem with a centrally planned global economy is the economic calculation problem. The central planners cannot ever plan for all the economic transactions desired by all the people. So they mis-price things (eventually mis-pricing everything) and scarcity results. The more they crack down on alternative markets, the more starvation and privation results, and the more secretive and effective the alternative markets become.
The more things are commanded by the central planners, the less effective the economy. Your German friends of the watermelon communist party (Green on the outside, blood red inside) got rid of the German nuclear power industry just in time to create even greater scarcity of power once Russian natural gas was forbidden. Of course, the Green commies hate all industry and like seeing people starve to death. Curiously, you neglected to mention nuclear power policies in your paper.
Mankind cannot free ourselves by hanging every central planner in the entrails of the war profiteers, however tempting that seems from week to week. We can only be free by turning our backs on the demon worshipping deep state and turning to God. Vade retro Satana.
Eternal Father please help Americans see how much they are betrayed by the cia and its alumni association and act accordingly. Amen.
"The prevailing dynamic suggests an unfolding narrative of the “Rise of the East,” as nations like China forge ahead with an economic model that prioritizes industrial prowess and socioeconomic advancement, juxtaposed against the Western world's struggles to sustain its dominance amid dwindling industrial output and mounting financial encumbrances."
Nailed it, as usual.
Hear hear!
Whenever I read most of Lilly's output I find myself often looking at the wooden beam straddling the kitchen ceiling and wondering if it would hold my weight.........
Yes this was another thought provoking paper with which I had much agreement. It is easier to look back and see these pivotal decisions and how they potentially all tied together. The real skill is getting whats coming next right....and as the famous Yogi Berra quote goes "It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future".
A couple of small personal points:
1. I think Margret Thatcher saved the UK from a slide into Marxist-Leninist chaos. I was a young man at the time and can recall only too well the massive waste of public money subsidizing the inefficient and Union riddled industries. She took on the Unions and defeated them. Having said all that, there is now no doubt in my mind that without North Sea oil revenue, the UK would have had a very tough time surviving the late 70s and 80s, let alone the 90s. Indeed without N.S. oil I would not have had a great 42 year career! However I am prepared to accept that the 80s was the beginning of the march to the apparent financialization of our economies in most of the West.
2. "Germany's request to repatriate its gold was met with evasion from the United States, which refused to make its actions transparent." This is a topic I feel has not received the attention it warrants. I believe Germany may not have been the only country not to have received prompt return of gold reserves from US custody. However I have seen relatively little written about the issue or why the return of gold was held up (except the claim of course that the gold was no longer there). Therefore I assume this is tied to the subject of another conspiracy theory about "missing Fort Knox gold" that I have heard about many times from many other writers.
The failure of the current actions of elites lays in their belief that they are playing 3-D chess when they are truly playing checkers against chess players. Those who believe themselves 'smart' have always underestimated the skills of opponents. It is one of the symptoms of narcissism.
Good stuff, there are lots of potential threads/rabbit holes.
* The US appears to be keeping the empire on life support by sucking the life out of Europe, specifically NATO. I'm glad you covered the Nordstream bombing, that's a pretty clear sign that we're going to have things our way as usual. As an Amerimutt, I can't say I mind too much really. Euros are already poor and I'd like to delay the collapse as long as possible.
* I wonder how much of this is calculated and how much is just reacting to circumstances as they happen. You didn't really need to be Bobby Fischer to see the Russia sanctions backfiring bigly.
* China seems to be at least sort of playing along with the whole Taiwan narrative. My bet is that they're LARPing to get the US distracted. China and Russia play the long game, they can afford to given their political structure. The US tends to think 4 years ahead at most.
* If we cut trade with China, who will fill our Dollar Stores with cheap junk? We can't risk empty Family Dollars, imagine the riots.
* I suppose BRICS could pose a threat in the future but I think it will take a while. A partnership relying on South Africa (at least to the extent that it's in the name) is likely to launch like an early SpaceX rocket. In time though...we should worry.
* The adults that are now supposedly in the White House that include the likes of Janet Yellen and Tony Blinken...what a joke. Can we get the kids back?
* China's BRI is a great concept that will pay off in spades long term. It's surely not easy, but those minerals are worth it for sure. I can recommend the documentary "Empire of Dust" for about 90 minutes of entertainment. It's kind of funny that many of these African countries turned on the colonialism that built what infrastructure they had and then after they destroyed most of what others had built they invite the Chinese to come and exploit them. Think the Chinese style colonialism will be the kinder, gentler version? I guess they do...wrong again.
* I'm glad you commented on the style of US imperialism, we're pretty good bullies. When we can't sanction or bomb we tend to go all color revolution and just install a puppet regime. I think we're up around 50 times at this point. That seems to be backfiring in Ukraine and now Niger isn't playing along.
* I think one of the bigger, if not the biggest issue facing the West is immigration. We can fight all of the economic and kinetic wars we want but in a few decades it's going to be all over anyway. Look at France, specifically Paris. Mohamed is the most common baby name now, not exactly classical Parisian. Thanks to the "globalists" the West is being destroyed from within by useful idiot puppets who are nothing more than cheap whores, selling out their countries for a bit of personal profit. It's good to see some of the push back in places like Sweden and the Netherlands but I wonder how long that will be allowed to last. These things are not happening in China, Russia or India - they will not undergo a seismic demographic shift (though China does have their population bomb issue). The only real way out of this is hitting rewind. That's a politically untenable position today. We do have a potential leader who is about 12 years away from being old enough to run...maybe by then the rewind button will be off the 3rd rail.
I’ll read it later...you’ve been very busy! I’m having trouble keeping up.
I'm using writing these to distract me from pain haha sorry
Sorry to hear, I hope the pain is short lived and you’re feeling better soon.